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The fourth quarter earnings season kicked off in earnest on Tuesday with the arrival of quarterly reports from Delta Air Lines (DAL) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). Additional bank earnings will highlight the earnings calendar later this week.
An optimistic consensus is forming: Wall Street analysts estimate S&P 500 (^GSPC) companies will report an earnings per share growth rate of 8.3% for Q4, according to FactSet data. If that rate holds, it would represent the 10th consecutive quarter of annual earnings growth for the index.
Heading into the reporting period, analysts have raised their earnings expectations, especially for tech companies, which have driven earnings growth in recent quarters. On Sept. 30, the consensus estimate for S&P 500 fourth quarter earnings growth stood at 7.2%.
Although Big Tech continues to set the tone, this earnings season promises to test the improved stock market breadth that has emerged at the start of 2026. Plus, the themes that drove the markets in 2025 — artificial intelligence, the Trump administration’s tariff and economic policies, and a K-shaped consumer economy — will continue to provide plenty for investors to parse.
The major financial companies will round out the earnings docket this week. In addition to Delta and JPMorgan, investors will hear from Bank of New York Mellon (BK) on Tuesday; Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), and Wells Fargo (WFC) on Wednesday; and BlackRock (BLK), Goldman Sachs (GS), and Morgan Stanley (MS) on Friday.
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