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US stock futures moved lower on Thursday, retreating from all-time highs as investors braced for another labor data update and grappled with President Trump’s salvos on defense and Venezuela.

Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ=F) dropped 0.3%, setting the tech-heavy index up for its first loss this week. S&P 500 futures (ES=F) shed 0.2%, signaling a further pullback from record territory, while those on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) fell 0.4% on the heels of a rocky session.

Defense stocks are rebounding in premarket after Trump said he wants to boost military spending by 50%, to $1.5 trillion a year. They had taken a bruising on Wednesday, also thanks to Trump, who threatened to block share buybacks and dividend payments by US defense majors if they didn’t invest in ramping up weapons operations. Northrop Grumman (NOC) and Lockheed Martin (LMT) both gained around 8% in premarket.

More broadly, markets are treading cautiously in the wait for a flurry of labor market updates: Challenger’s update on job cuts in December and weekly initial jobless claims. Wall Street is on watch for labor market weakness after this week’s signs of slowing in private payrolls and to “anemic” rates in hiring. That will set the stage for Friday’s jobs report for December, key to the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions.

At the same time, potential geopolitical flashpoints are still high on the agenda, with US oil-focused strategy on Venezuela and Greenland in high focus. Trump said the US could oversee Venezuela and control its oil revenue for years, speaking in a New York Times interview and echoing the US energy secretary’s view that America be in the driving seat “indefinitely going forward.”

Also on investors’ radar is a potential Supreme Court decision on the legality of tariffs imposed under Trump. Friday scheduled as an opinion day, offering the first chance for a legal retort to the levies.

LIVE 8 updates

  • Economic data: Challenger job cuts (December); Initial jobless claims (week ended Jan. 3); Continuing claims (week ended Dec. 27); Trade balance (October); NY Fed one-year inflation expectations (December)

    Earnings calendar: RPM International (RPM), TD SYNNEX Corporation (SNX), Acuity (AYI), Commercial Metals Company (CMC), WD-40 Company (WDFC)

    Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning:

    Nvidia is demanding full upfront payment for H200 chips in China

    China to approve Nvidia H200 purchases as soon as this quarter

    AI, chips, and robots dominated CES 2026. It’s just the beginning.

    US seizes 2 more tankers in Venezuela oil campaign

    US control of Venezuela may last for years as strategy takes shape

    Trump wants to boost defense spending 50% to $1.5 trillion

    Trump expands US climate retreat with exits from UN bodies

    Goldman: High valuations put equities at risk

    Trump faces $150B tariff refund fight as SCOTUS ruling nears

    Market risk mounts as Supreme Court weighs Trump’s tariffs

  • Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) stock edged higher by 2% on Thursday after receiving a Buy rating. Executives at BofA Securities reiterated their Buy rating and $255 price target.

    Apple (AAPL) stock fell 1% before the bell on Thursday after news that JPMorgan Chase (JPM) had agreed to take over the Apple credit card portfolio from its current issuer, Goldman Sachs (GS).

    Globus Medical, Inc. (GMED) stocks jumped 9% during premarket trading following the preliminary release of its Q4 results and a 2026 outlook that both beat analysts’ expectations.

  • US defense stocks turned higher in premarket after promises and threats from President Trump sent them on a wild ride.

    After market close, Trump said he wanted to boost US military spending by over 50% to $1.5 trillion, which would be funded by proceeds from tariffs.

    The proposal appeared to revive investor appetite for shares of major defense contractors, which slumped on Wednesday after Trump vowed to block them from buying back shares and paying dividends until they step up production of military equipment.

    Shares in Northrop Grumman (NOC) and Lockheed Martin (LMT) both popped about 7% before the bell, after closing about 5% lower on Wednesday.

    RTX (RTX), singled out by Trump as particularly slow to invest in development, put on 4%, while General Dynamics (GD) was up 5%, set to retrace declines.

  • Shares of Big Oil companies such as Chevron (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), and Exxon Mobil (XOM) edged higher after meeting with the Trump administration on Wednesday in Miami after the US arrested Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro over the weekend.

    Per the Financial Times, US oil companies said in the meeting that they need “serious guarantees” from Washington before they make any investments in Venezuela. This comes as President Trump urges them to back his bid to help reshape the energy sector.

    Trump is also planning to hold a meeting on Friday with executives from some of the country’s biggest energy groups, where the president is expected to be quizzed on whether the administration will provide strong legal and financial guarantees before they commit capital to Venezuela, according to the FT.

    Trump said earlier this week that US oil companies would be “reimbursed” if they invested in Venezuela but most executives remain cautious.

    “No one wants to go in there when a random fucking tweet can change the entire foreign policy of the country,” said one private equity investor who specializes in energy.

    Halliburton Company (HAL) and SLB (SLB), which both provide products and services to the energy sector, saw their shares rise on Thursday before the bell.

    Read more here.

  • The world is set to face a critical copper (HG=F) shortage, driven by a boom in AI and defense spending, according to S&P Global.

    Growth in those sectors will boost global demand by 50% by 2040, but supplies are likely to miss meeting that appetite unless there is more recycling and mining, the consultancy said.

    Copper has been on a powerful rally as output gravitates to the US amid concerns that President Trump’s tariffs will dry up supply. That has sparked a bidding war with Chinese industrial buyers also dependent on the metal.

    Bloomberg reports:

    Demand growth is accelerating just as mine supply faces structural limits, raising the risk that copper becomes a bottleneck for economic growth and technological expansion, S&P Global wrote Thursday in a report backed by the mining industry.

    Demand from AI, data centers and global defense spending could roughly triple by 2040, adding 4 million tons of consumption combined, the study found.

    … S&P Global sees global copper demand rising 50% from today’s levels to 42 million metric tons by 2040. While traditional sources such as construction, appliances, transportation and power generation continue to account for most copper demand, the biggest share of growth is coming from energy-transition uses including electric vehicles, renewable power, batteries and grid expansion.

    Newer sources of demand are also gaining scale. Copper consumption tied to data centers and artificial intelligence infrastructure is expected to surge as global installed data-center capacity increases almost fourfold by 2040.

    … S&P Global also identified another potential source of demand: humanoid robots.

    Read more here.

  • Bloomberg reports:

    Read more here.

  • Bloomberg reports:

    Read more here.

  • Alphabet (GOOG) closed Wednesday by overtaking Apple (AAPL) in market value, marking the first time since 2019 that Google’s parent company has been worth more than the iPhone maker. Both companies trail Nvidia (NVDA) by over $700 billion.

    Alphabet closed Wednesday with a market capitalization of roughly $3.88 trillion after its shares climbed more than 2% to finish at $322.03. Apple, by contrast, ended the session valued at about $3.84 trillion, weighed down by a recent sell-off that has pushed the stock down by nearly 5% over the past five days.

    The shift highlights how differently the two tech giants are positioned in the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence landscape. Alphabet capped off 2025 as one of Wall Street’s strongest performers, fueled by a series of AI-focused wins that reshaped investor sentiment.

    Alphabet shares surged 65% in 2025, their biggest annual gain since 2009. Apple, meanwhile, has struggled to convince investors it can lead in AI. A long-awaited upgrade to Siri was delayed, with a revamped version now promised for 2026.

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