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THE GIST
Bitcoin, just in time for the Bitcoin Conference 2026 in Las Vegas, is having quite the roller coaster week.
And to alleviate or maybe aggravate Bitcoin’s price action, none other than Michael Saylor took the stage at the conference to borrow a term more broadly seen in biology than crypto: “Cambrian explosion.”
“I think the entire industry is going to start accelerating right now,” Michael told the audience. “I think we’re going to see a Cambrian explosion.”
Saylor, ironically, given Bitcoin’s original intentions, went on to say that some of the world’s biggest banks are suddenly interested in the orange coin again, hinting at a possible scarcity squeeze incoming.
WHAT HAPPENED
For those unfamiliar with Saylor’s term, Britannica defines a “Cambrian explosion” as an “unparalleled emergence of organisms between 541 million and approximately 530 million years ago” characterized by “the appearance of many of the major phyla (between 20 and 35) that make up modern animal life.”
Bitcoin, to be fair, has had quite the run since it was created and released in 2009, but over the last 6 or so months, Bitcoin hasn’t done much in terms of exploding. On the front of Cambrian “emergence,” Bitcoin hasn’t done much to update its code either. BTC’s last major update was in 2021, when devs implemented a consensus-level protocol upgrade dubbed “Taproot.” Since then, there have been minor updates to Bitcoin’s data limits and improvements in fee accuracy/efficiency for unconfirmed transactions, but nothing on the scale of a Cambrian explosion.
Either Saylor is playing hype man once again to try to pump his bags, or he’s actually onto something, but by the looks of how his company Strategy is doing… it may be the former.
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WHY IT MATTERS
Since we’re on the topic of exploding and Michael Saylor, what’s going on with Strategy (MSTR)? Well, as of April 30, Strategy holds 818,334 Bitcoin, valued at approximately $62.3 billion. And because of their Bitcoin strategy, their stock, MSTR, has fallen along with it, dropping from around $455 in July 2025 to $158. Worse, the company has yet to turn a profit since 2023, largely driven by tax benefits rather than operating performance.
They’ve been riding the Bitcoin wave and riding it hard, but as of today, their margin for “profit” (though Sayor continues to claim he’ll never sell) remains thin. At an average acquisition cost of $66,384 per coin, the treasury is sitting on a mere +0.17% in unrealized gains. Worse, when you look back to Bitcoin’s previous all-time high and initial fall in 2021, both dips were around 50%. After a similar rise in February and March, we saw that Bitcoin started to fall. We’re not saying history repeats, but it often rhymes. FED Chair Powell swapping seats with newly appointed Kevin Warsh, who many analysts believe isn’t going to immediately start cutting, no matter how many times President Trump posts on Truth Social, isn’t going to necessarily help Bitcoin’s case.
Who, ironically, might help Bitcoin finish 2026 strong are the banks. Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Citigroup, and others are setting wild price targets of $150,000 to $200,000 for the rest of the year. These financial institutions are pointing to ETF inflows, which had a monstrous April. BlackRock’s IBIT recorded positive flows on 48 of 62 trading days in Q1 2026, along with AUM at $61.8 billion. There is also the Clarity Act, which Senator Cynthia Lummis confirmed at the Bitcoin Conference that the markup is now targeting May.
WHAT’S NEXT
Given Saylor is the same guy who once said, “Bitcoin is a bank in cyberspace, run by incorruptible software, offering a global, affordable, simple and secure savings account to billions of people that don’t have the option or desire to run their own hedge fund,” we have our hesitations about what the orange coin is going to do over the start of Spring and Summer.
Another indicator to look at is global liquidity, which hit an all-time high of $101.5 trillion on April 28, 2026. Bitcoin, though, so far, hasn’t seen that affection, obviously going to “safer”, more AI narrative-driven bets like Amazon and Google, which either rose on their earnings this week or at least remained flat.
And seeing the average historical global liquidity cycle runs about 65 months (~5.4 years), with the current one kicking off in the second half of 2022, the expected peak, according to Michael Howell, the creator the the Global Liquidity Index (GLI), told analysts that the liquidity cycle peaked in Q3/Q4 2025 or early 2026… about 5–8 months ago from today. If that starts to tick down, Bitcoin should be the first to let you know.
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