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Strategic Performance and Market Dynamics
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First quarter room night growth of 6% was impacted by approximately 2 percentage points due to the Middle East conflict, which triggered elevated cancellations and moderated new bookings starting in late February.
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U.S. room night growth accelerated for the fourth consecutive quarter to the low teens, driven by disciplined investments in product, brand, and supply that are successfully capturing domestic market share.
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The ‘Connected Trip’ strategy is gaining traction, with transactions involving multiple travel verticals growing in the high teens and representing a low double-digit percentage of total Booking.com transactions.
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Asia remains a primary structural growth opportunity, where the company utilizes a global playbook combined with Agoda’s localized expertise to navigate diverse consumer behaviors and distribution channels like social messaging platforms.
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Management attributes its performance to rigorous financial discipline and remains on track to deliver $500 million to $550 million in savings from its transformation program for the full year 2026.
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The direct channel remains a core differentiator, with the B2C direct mix holding steady in the mid-60% range, supported by high engagement from mobile app users and Genius loyalty members.
Outlook and Strategic Assumptions
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Second quarter guidance assumes the direct and indirect impacts of the Middle East conflict persist through June, resulting in an estimated 3 percentage point headwind to room night growth.
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Full-year 2026 planning assumes a recovery in travel demand during the second half of the year following the projected four-month period of disruption.
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Management is executing targeted cost management actions, including strictly managing discretionary spend and recalibrating hiring, while protecting strategic investment in long-term growth initiatives.
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The company maintains its long-term constant currency ambition of at least 8% gross bookings growth, 8% revenue growth, and 15% adjusted EPS growth for future years.
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Guidance for the full year includes expectations for adjusted EBITDA to grow slightly faster than revenue, with margins expanding between 0 and 25 basis points.
Risk Factors and Capital Allocation
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Completed a record $3.6 billion in share repurchases during Q1, reflecting management’s confidence in the company’s long-term value relative to market fluctuations.
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A $17 million one-time benefit was recorded in March due to the repeal of Canadian digital service taxes, partially offsetting payment expenses.
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Management flagged potential broader inflationary pressures, including fluctuations in jet fuel prices and airline capacity reductions, as unquantified risks to the travel value chain.
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The Middle East region, including inbound travel, represented approximately 7% of 2025 global room nights, highlighting the geographic concentration of current geopolitical risks.
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