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US stocks rose on Thursday as oil prices pulled back from four-year highs and key Big Tech earnings reports cemented optimism for a continued boom in AI demand.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) climbed roughly 0.7% following a lackluster Wednesday for Wall Street stocks. Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) moved up 0.3%, while those on the S&P 500 (ES=F) put on about 0.3%.

In early morning trade, oil prices reached their highest level since 2022 on an Axios report that President Trump is looking at fresh military options against Iran. Brent (BZ=F) crude June futures surged 7% to top $126 a barrel amid concerns of an escalation in hostilities, but fell to below $117 in bumpy trade.

A round of quarterly results from four tech megacaps out Wednesday showed AI spending isn’t slowing, with a combined outlook for an eye-popping $725 billion this year. But investor reception was mixed, with Alphabet (GOOG) and Amazon (AMZN) shares rising after earnings beats, but Meta (META) lagging on weaker-than-expected capital spending. Microsoft (MSFT) shares slipped 1% even after it topped estimates for revenue and profit.

Next up Apple scheduled to report after the market closes. Markets are focused on the impact of AI expenditure for revenue streams.

Looking ahead, Thursday’s release of the March reading of PCE inflation is in focus amid division at the Federal Reserve on the policy and gauging price pressures. The central bank kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, as expected, as Chair Jerome Powell said he is planning to stay on past the end of his current term,

LIVE 6 updates

  • The European Central Bank and the Bank of England voted to keep their target interest rates steady this morning, citing the war in Iran as a key economic stressor.

    The ECB voted to keep the interest rates on the deposit facility, main refinancing operations, and the marginal lending facility unchanged at 2%, 2.15%, and 2.40%, respectively.

    In a statement published alongside the ECB decision, the Governing Council said the Middle East conflict, which has stymied the global energy system, “led to a sharp increase in energy prices, pushing up inflation and weighing on economic sentiment.”

    The Governing Council added, echoing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in his press conference yesterday, “The longer the war continues, and the longer energy prices remain high, the stronger is the likely impact on broader inflation and the economy.”

    In the UK, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee voted to maintain the bank rate at 3.75% as policymakers attempt to steer the economy back toward 2% inflation.

    “The impact on the economy and inflation will depend on how much energy prices go up and how long they stay raised,” the Monetary Policy Committee wrote in a statement released alongside the decision.

    “Monetary policy cannot affect global energy prices; our job is to make sure that higher inflation does not persist and have long-lasting effects on the economy.”

  • Initial jobless claims fell to 189,000 in the week ended April 25, according to data released by the Department of Labor on Thursday, coming in below the previous week’s revised tally of 215,000 claims.

    Economists had expected initial claims to be significantly higher at 212,000 for the week, according to consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

    Continuing claims, which track the unemployed population still seeking work, also fell to 1.76 million in the week ended April 18 compared to the previous week’s revised count of roughly 1.81 million continuing claims.

    Economists had been looking for an increase in continuing claims, estimating roughly 1.82 million.

  • Prices rose by 0.7% in March over the previous month, according to Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index data released Friday by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

    The growth was in line with economists’ expectations of 0.7%, according to Bloomberg’s consensus estimates, nearly doubling February’s 0.4% increase.

    “Core” PCE, which excludes the more volatile food and energy categories, rose 0.3% on the month. The print is in line with economists’ expectations for the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure and slightly below February’s 0.4% gain.

    On an annual basis, the headline and core PCE price indexes rose 3.5% and 3.2%, respectively, in March from the previous year, in line with expectations on both measures.

    Meanwhile, personal income rose by 0.6% in March on a monthly basis, coming in sharply above the previous month’s 0.1% decline and doubling economist expectations of 0.3% growth.

    Personal spending increased 0.9% from last month, coming in equal to expectations and above the previous month’s revised growth of 0.6%.

  • Semiconductor stocks rose on Thursday. Qualcomm (QCOM) surged 9% in premarket trading, while peers Broadcom (AVGO), Intel (INTC), and AMD (AMD) climbed higher as well.

    Big Tech earnings from companies like Meta Platforms (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) showed hyperscalers plan to grow their capital expenditures on artificial intelligence infrastructure.

    Wall Street sees the makers of the central processing units (CPUs) needed for agentic AI, such as Intel and AMD, as beneficiaries of the trade. The cost of memory and data storage has also benefited players like Sandisk (SNDK), Western Digital (WDC), and Seagate (STX), which rallied premarket following Seagate’s strong results.

    Meanwhile, Qualcomm’s better-than-expected first quarter results also lifted the broader chip sector. The maker of smartphone processors said it sees the market for Chinese phones bottoming in the current quarter, a positive sign for the company. It also said it expects to ship custom silicon to an unnamed hyperscaler later this year.

    Read more here.

  • Bloomberg reports:

    Brent (BZ=F) oil rallied to a wartime high after Axios reported that US President Donald Trump is set to receive a briefing on new military options for action in Iran, signaling the potential for fresh escalation in the Middle East.

    The global benchmark surged as much as 7.1% to eclipse $126 a barrel and hit the highest intraday level in four years, while West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) jumped above $110. The head of US Central Command Admiral Brad Cooper will brief Trump on Thursday, signaling a resumption of combat operations are seriously under consideration, Axios said, citing two unnamed people.

    A ceasefire has held since early April but recent efforts to get negotiators from the two sides to meet have so far failed, with the US and Iran both maintaining their blockade of the the vital Strait of Hormuz. Central Command has asked for hypersonic missiles to be sent to the Middle East, which would mark the first time the American army has deployed those weapons.

    The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively closed since the war started at the end of February, choking off flows of crude, natural gas and oil products, and driving up energy prices. On Tuesday, Trump discussed steps the US could take to prolong its blockade while minimizing the impact on American consumers at a meeting with oil and trading executives, the White House said.

    Read more here.

  • Bloomberg reports:

    Asia’s artificial intelligence-fueled rally is masking signs of strain, with gains in tech names overshadowing the impact of the US-Iran war on the broader market.

    A rotation back into AI has propelled the region’s tech gauge almost 10% higher since the Middle East conflict began, taking it to an all-time high this week. In contrast, most other sectors remain under pressure, with consumer discretionary down nearly 11%.

    The divergence underscores persistent concerns over higher energy costs for Asia’s oil-importing economies and their impact on household spending and corporate profits. Strategists say the gap is likely to widen amid uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz reopening, even as Asia’s stock benchmark rebounds toward record highs.

    “This is a one-engine market in two worlds — tech is carrying returns in a vacuum while the rest of Asia’s real economy absorbs a war-driven shock,” said Hebe Chen, senior market analyst at Vantage Global Prime. “Info-tech’s resilience is less a vote of confidence than a process of elimination, as most sectors are directly exposed to higher energy costs and slowing demand.”

    Read more here.

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